Tax basics · Kalshi
What Bettors Get Wrong About Taxes
The most common tax mistakes sports bettors and prediction-market traders make (from "no 1099 means nothing to report" to neglected records) and what to do instead.
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Most bettors get one thing wrong above all else: they assume that if no sportsbook or exchange sent them a tax form, they have nothing to report. That is the single most common mistake we heard in interviews, and it is backwards. In the U.S., betting and trading gains are taxable income whether or not a 1099 ever shows up. The form is a convenience, not the trigger.
This guide walks through the mistakes that come up again and again, drawn from conversations with real sports bettors and prediction-market traders. There is no IRS guidance on how prediction-market event contracts are taxed, which matters to the section on losses.
Do I have to report betting income if I never got a 1099?
Yes. This is the misconception that costs people the most, and it was strikingly consistent in our interviews. Several traders told us they simply hadn't filed the betting portion of their taxes because no form arrived. One described checking a sportsbook, seeing a notification about a form, going to look, and finding it wasn't there, so they concluded there was nothing to do. Another said plainly they'd "only file if they sent it to me."
The reporting obligation does not work that way. The U.S. taxes income "from whatever source derived," and a 1099 is just one way activity gets reported to the IRS, not the thing that creates the duty to report. If you have a net gain, it generally belongs on your return whether or not a form arrives, and whether or not the activity was spread across a dozen books. For background on how the IRS treats winnings and wagering income, see the IRS topic on gambling income and losses. For the prediction-market version of this question, see our guide on whether Kalshi winnings are taxable.
Am I only taxed when I withdraw my winnings?
No, but this one came up with real confidence. One bettor told us they figured they "didn't get taxed because you weren't withdrawing" large sums, as if money sitting in an app balance is invisible to the IRS. Another deliberately left a big balance parked in an account partly to put off the tax.
Gains are generally taxable when they are realized, not when you transfer cash to your bank. Moving money to your checking account is not the taxable event; the gain is. Treating withdrawals as the trigger can leave you under-reporting a year where you won but never cashed out.
Why does record-keeping matter so much?
Because the records a correct return depends on are exactly the ones people let lapse. When we asked bettors how they track, the pattern was almost universal: a hand-built spreadsheet, a third-party tracker, or "I just check my bet slips." And almost as universally, the system breaks down. One trader described falling a week behind, then logging bets imprecisely just to catch up, losing detail right when it matters. Several tried a tracker, found it wouldn't reliably sync their books, switched to manual entry, and then, in one bettor's words, "forgot to track them and just didn't bother." Another estimated a busy week could mean ten hours of spreadsheet work, which is exactly why the record decays as stakes rise.
The fix is to stop maintaining the record by hand. The cleanest source is a full export of your activity straight from each platform (every trade, settlement, deposit, and withdrawal) so the numbers are complete and reconciled rather than reconstructed from memory at filing time. Keep, at minimum:
- A full export of your trade and settlement history for each year,
- Year-end balances and any tax forms the platform issues, and
- Records of deposits and withdrawals.
Can I deduct my losses, and could a losing year actually help me?
This can be the biggest piece of money left on the table, and almost no one we spoke to understood it. A few bettors had a rough sense that losses offset winnings, but couldn't articulate the rules; two separately brought up a coming change to how gambling losses are deducted, both admitting they'd "misquote it." They were right that something changed: starting with tax year 2026, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act limits the deduction for gambling losses to 90% of those losses, so a break-even bettor can owe tax on income they never kept. This is a real, in-force rule. We cover it in detail in our guide on the OBBBA 90% gambling-loss limit. What didn't come up from a single bettor, unprompted, is the more valuable idea: under some treatments, a losing year can actually reduce your taxes.
How losses can be used depends entirely on how the income is characterized:
| Possible treatment | How gains are taxed | How losses can be used |
|---|---|---|
| Section 1256 contracts | Blended 60% long / 40% short capital | Offset capital gains; a residual up to $3,000 of ordinary income, with the rest carried forward, and a limited 3-year carryback election may apply |
| Ordinary capital gain/loss | Short- or long-term capital rates | Offset capital gains, then up to $3,000 of ordinary income, with the rest carried forward |
| Gambling winnings | Ordinary income at your marginal rate | Deductible only up to winnings, and only if you itemize |
Under a gambling framework, losses are tightly capped. Under a derivatives or capital framework, they can offset other gains and a limited amount of ordinary income, so the same losing year has very different tax value. Whether Section 1256 treatment applies to event contracts is not settled. The relevant form, if that treatment applies, is Form 6781.
Paying more tax is not the same as filing correctly: which characterization is correct depends on what the instrument is, not on how much tax it produces. The argument against wagering treatment for exchange-traded event contracts rests on the mechanics. They are bought and sold at a moving price on an exchange the CFTC designated, and a position can be sold before the event resolves. Gambling treatment works on gross winnings with a 90% cap on loss deductions, and it is one of the ways people file. The arguments on each side are set out in are prediction markets taxed as gambling?.
Is it a problem to just hand everything to a family CPA?
Not on its own, but it's only as good as the records you give them. A striking number of bettors told us they hand their taxes to a parent, a cousin, or "a person who does it," and couldn't describe what actually happens. One interviewer noted the pattern recurs constantly: "everybody gets their CPA from their parents." That's fine, but a preparer can only work from what you assemble, and as the record-keeping section above shows, what people manage to assemble is often incomplete.
The takeaway isn't "do it yourself." It's that clean, complete source data is what makes the hand-off work. If your accountant is reconstructing a fragmented year from partial screenshots, you may be over-reporting gains, under-claiming losses, or both. CPAs can see what Realize hands over on the tax professionals page.
The bottom line
The mistakes are consistent: assuming no form means no obligation, thinking only withdrawals are taxed, letting records lapse, and never learning that losses can have real tax value. None of these require deep expertise to avoid. They require complete records and a clear picture of your year. Keep full exports from every platform, and understand that you report gains regardless of forms. For the bigger picture, start at the Prediction Market Tax Center.
Questions people ask
Do I have to report betting income if I never got a 1099?
Yes. In the U.S., gambling and trading gains are taxable income whether or not a platform sends you a tax form. A 1099 is a reporting convenience, not the trigger for your obligation. The absence of one is not permission to skip reporting. Rely on your own complete records, not on whether a form arrives.
Am I only taxed when I withdraw my winnings?
No. Gains are generally taxable when they are realized, not when you move cash to your bank. Leaving winnings in a sportsbook or exchange balance does not defer the tax. This is one of the most common misconceptions we heard from bettors.
Can I deduct my betting losses?
Sometimes, but how depends on the character of the income. Traditional gambling losses are deductible only up to your winnings and only if you itemize. If trades are treated as capital or Section 1256 transactions, losses can be used more broadly. The treatment of event contracts is unsettled; the IRS has issued no guidance on them.
What records do I need to keep for betting taxes?
Enough to reconstruct every position: dates, stakes, odds or prices, fees, and net results, plus deposits, withdrawals, and any year-end statements. The cleanest source is a full export of your activity from each platform, not a spreadsheet you keep by hand, which most bettors admit they let lapse.
Keep reading
- Guide
OBBBA 90% Gambling-Loss Limit Under §165(d)
From 2026 only 90% of gambling losses are deductible, so a break-even year can still owe tax.
Read the guide - Guide
How to Track Prediction Market Trades for Taxes
What to track, how to pull your Kalshi and Polymarket history, and the mistakes to avoid.
Read the guide - Guide
How to Amend a Tax Return for Prediction Market Losses
Amend up to three prior years on Form 1040-X to claim losses you never deducted. The carryback is a different move.
Read the guide