ProphetXLegalBeing fought

Is ProphetX legal in Connecticut?

Last checked against court dockets and filings · Updated

As of November 11, 2026, we found no court order stopping ProphetX in Connecticut. The governor's office says the consumer protection department sent ProphetX one of nine cease-and-desist orders in September, and we found no posted copy of that order. Connecticut calls sports prediction markets unlicensed gambling; the CFTC, in its own suit against the state, says contracts on exchanges it regulates fall under its exclusive jurisdiction. Neither reading is a tax ruling.

By Owen Monagan, Founder & CEOUpdated

ProphetX in Connecticut at a glance

Checked Nov 11, 2026
Status
Being fought
Where it stands
In September 2026 Connecticut's governor's office named ProphetX among nine prediction markets the state ordered to stop offering sports contracts to residents. The order to ProphetX is not published, and we found no court order naming ProphetX in Connecticut.
Federal appeals
Second Circuit: no decision yet
Source

What changedSince Oct 30, 2026

ProphetX in Connecticut: what changed since Oct 30, 2026?

No change in Connecticut since Sep 10, 2026. The last one is below. Last checked Nov 11, 2026.

  • Nothing changes for accounts yetConnecticut’s governor announced cease-and-desist orders to nine prediction markets, ProphetX among them. Filing

Your money

Your ProphetX money in Connecticut.

An order stops new trades in the markets it covers. The rules that hold your cash come from ProphetX’s clearinghouse and make no exception by state.

What Connecticut is asking the court for

  • Stop The governor's office says the department ordered all nine platforms, ProphetX among them, to stop making sports event contracts or any other unlicensed online gambling available to Connecticut residents. We have not seen the order to ProphetX, and it is not a court order. Source
How money on ProphetX is protected, wherever you are
  • The CFTC designated ProphetX LLC, a Delaware company headquartered in New York, a contract market on June 11, 2026. Source
  • ProphetX LLC told the CFTC that every contract listed on its exchange will be cleared on a fully collateralized basis by a derivatives clearing organization. Source

Timeline1 steps

Every ProphetX ruling in Connecticut, in order.

1 steps since Sep 2026. None has changed what you can trade in Connecticut yet, so every step is shown.

  1. Sep 10, 2026 Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection Connecticut’s governor announced cease-and-desist orders from the Department of Consumer Protection to nine prediction markets, ProphetX among them. Filing

The order

What did Connecticut order ProphetX to do?

Everything we found comes from a September 10, 2026 release from the governor's office. It says the Department of Consumer Protection "issued nine cease-and-desist orders" that week, then lists the targets. ProphetX is fifth, between Robinhood and Novig.

The release describes what all nine were told in one sentence. Each was told to stop "advertising, offering, promoting, or otherwise making available" sports event contracts, along with "any other form of unlicensed online gambling," to Connecticut residents. That sentence is the governor's office summarizing nine documents at once. It does not quote the order sent to ProphetX, and it does not say whether that order was tailored to ProphetX's products.

Gaps

What is missing from the public record?

Most of what a reader would want to know. We found no posted copy of the September orders, and the release says copies "are available upon request" through its records portal. We have not obtained ProphetX's. So we cannot give:

  • The date. The release says "This week," and it is dated September 10. The order's own date is in nothing we found.
  • The addressee. The release prints "ProphetX" with no company suffix. Whether the order went to ProphetX LLC, the company holding the federal designation, or to another entity is unknown to us.
  • The statutes and findings. Beyond the release's general wording, we found none.

The release itself uses two words for the documents. Its list calls them orders; its closing line calls them "cease-and-desist letters." A cease-and-desist from an agency is not a court judgment, and we found no court ruling that enforces this one or sets it aside.

For contrast, the department did publish its December 2, 2025 order to Robinhood Derivatives, one of three platforms it targeted that month. That two-page letter carries a case number, cites Connecticut's gambling statutes and the state unfair trade practices law, and names its addressee in full. We found nothing comparable for ProphetX.

Grounds

What reasons does Connecticut give?

The reasons in the release are about the industry, not about ProphetX. It describes a sports prediction market as "a peer-to-peer exchange where users buy and sell 'yes' or 'no' contracts" on sporting events, and says such markets operating in Connecticut violate its gaming and unfair trade practices laws. It adds that they take wagers from people under 21 and from people on the state's voluntary self-exclusion list, and that they offer wagers on Connecticut college teams, which state law forbids. It calls the nine "known to be operating illegally in Connecticut."

Those are the state's allegations. The release names no conduct by ProphetX in particular, and no court has made those findings about ProphetX in any record we found. On penalties, it warns that "Failure to comply may result in additional action," including civil penalties under the Connecticut Unfair Trade Practices Act or criminal penalties under the gaming statutes. That is a warning. We found no penalty imposed on ProphetX.

Your money

Did Connecticut tell ProphetX to let users withdraw?

We could not determine it. Directly after the stop sentence, the release says the department "also ordered all three platforms" to let residents withdraw funds. The paragraph is about nine platforms and never identifies three.

The same withdrawal sentence appears in the attorney general's August 26, 2026 release, where it follows a description of December 2025 orders to "Kalshi and two other sites." The CFTC's complaint against Connecticut names those three as KalshiEx, Crypto.com and Robinhood Derivatives (¶60, p.18). ProphetX is not among them, and ProphetX LLC was not yet a designated exchange then. The published Robinhood order does contain a withdrawal term (p.2), but that tells us nothing about what the order to ProphetX says. This page does not apply the "three platforms" sentence to ProphetX.

Federal side

What is ProphetX's federal status?

The CFTC designated ProphetX LLC, "a Delaware limited liability company headquartered in New York," a contract market by an Order of Designation dated June 11, 2026 (p.1). In its application ProphetX said its trading model "is non-intermediated" (p.2), and the order bars it from letting a futures commission merchant intermediate trades unless the order is amended (p.3). In ProphetX's own description, then, users trade on its exchange without a broker in between. Two others on Connecticut's list work as brokers: the Connecticut court describes Kalshi's contracts as "offered through Coinbase" (ECF 93, p.4), and the CFTC calls Robinhood Derivatives a registered futures commission merchant (¶60, p.18).

The federal government's position on Connecticut's earlier orders is in its April 2, 2026 complaint (D. Conn. No. 3:26-cv-00498). The United States and the CFTC say they sued "in response to Defendants' sending of cease and desist letters to various CFTC-regulated entities" (¶1, p.1). The complaint was filed more than two months before ProphetX's designation and does not mention ProphetX. We found no filing or public statement in which ProphetX takes a position on Connecticut's order.

Courts

Has a court ruled on ProphetX in Connecticut?

Not in any record we found, and ProphetX is a party to none of the Connecticut cases we know of. On August 10, 2026 the federal court in Connecticut denied Coinbase a preliminary injunction, "largely in line with" its companion order in Kalshi's case (ECF 93, p.1). On November 3, 2026 the Second Circuit denied Kalshi (No. 26-2239) and Coinbase (No. 26-2297) injunctions while they appeal, finding they "failed to make the required showing." We found no decision on the appeals themselves.

The release puts the August ruling more broadly, saying a federal judge found that sports event contracts "are illegal unlicensed gambling." That is the governor's office's description; the August rulings denied preliminary injunctions, in cases ProphetX was not in. We did not read court dockets for this page, so a filing involving ProphetX could exist that we have not seen. Kalshi in Connecticut follows those appeals.

Your account

Can people in Connecticut use ProphetX now?

We could not determine it. ProphetX's terms of use, version 1.0 dated June 10, 2026 and read November 11, 2026, make eligibility depend on users being "legally allowed to participate in the Contracts" under the laws that apply to them (§3.1), and require location services to be on (§8.5). They do not mention Connecticut. Its help center article on blocked access, last updated August 4, 2026, says access "is restricted from certain locations" without listing them, and a search of the help center for "Connecticut" on November 11 returned nothing.

So we found no ProphetX notice that it stopped, or kept, offering sports contracts in Connecticut after the order. Nothing we read speaks to balances, withdrawals or open positions for Connecticut users.

Ohio

Has another state told ProphetX to stop?

Yes, Ohio. Its Casino Control Commission sent a letter dated October 2, 2026 addressed to "Prophet X," demanding that it stop offering sports event contracts in Ohio. Unlike Connecticut's order, that letter is one we could read. ProphetX in Ohio covers it, and ProphetX's legal page lists every state where we found an action.

Tax

Does Connecticut's order change how ProphetX trades are taxed?

The department's order is about who may offer sports contracts in Connecticut without a state license, and a state gaming action is not a ruling on federal income tax. How a year of event contracts comes out under the common ways people file is in the prediction market tax guide.

Those are positions on who may license the contracts, not tax rulings; the IRS has not addressed event contracts, and people report them three common ways.

Your Connecticut return

Connecticut taxes personal income. Its return starts from your federal adjusted gross income, so the way event contracts are reported federally carries into it. Connecticut does not allow a deduction for gambling losses. Where you can trade follows where you are; Connecticut income tax follows its own residency rules.

Connecticut DRS IP 2015(23)

Realize’s estimates are federal; for a Connecticut question, Realize offers a call with a CPA.

What’s next

Where the ProphetX case in Connecticut goes from here.

We found no hearing, penalty or court date on the order and no court case between Connecticut and ProphetX; we did not read court dockets for this check. The release says failure to comply may lead to civil or criminal penalties.

Whether federal commodities law preempts state gambling law is unresolved. Kalshi Supreme Court tracker follows the petitions.

Questions6 questions

Questions about ProphetX in Connecticut.

Short answers, as of Nov 11, 2026.

Is ProphetX legal in Connecticut?

As of November 11, 2026, we found no court order or lawsuit that stops ProphetX in Connecticut. The governor's office said on September 10, 2026 that the Department of Consumer Protection had ordered nine prediction markets, ProphetX among them, to stop offering sports event contracts to residents. The state has not published that order. ProphetX LLC operates an exchange the CFTC designated on June 11, 2026, and we found no ProphetX statement about Connecticut.

Has Connecticut banned ProphetX?

As of November 11, 2026, no court has. Connecticut's step is a consumer protection department order that, by the governor's office's account, covers sports event contracts and any other unlicensed online gambling. The release warns of civil or criminal penalties for not complying; we found none imposed on ProphetX and no court ruling enforcing or setting aside the order.

Which ProphetX company received the Connecticut order?

As of November 11, 2026, we could not tell. The governor's release lists the recipient as ProphetX, with no company suffix. ProphetX LLC is the Delaware company the CFTC designated a contract market, but the release does not name it, and the order itself is available only on request from the department.

Did Connecticut order ProphetX to let users withdraw their money?

As of November 11, 2026, we could not determine it. The release says the department ordered "all three platforms" to allow withdrawals, right after naming nine and without saying which three. The attorney general used the same sentence in August about December 2025 orders to Kalshi and two other sites, before ProphetX had a federal designation. Without the order we do not apply that sentence to ProphetX.

Is ProphetX part of Connecticut's court fights over prediction markets?

As of November 11, 2026, not in any filing we read. The federal cases over Connecticut's earlier orders involve Kalshi, Coinbase and the CFTC, and the CFTC's April 2, 2026 complaint against the state came before ProphetX LLC was designated and does not mention ProphetX. We did not read court dockets for this page.

Does Connecticut's order change how ProphetX trades are taxed?

As of November 11, 2026, no. The order concerns whether ProphetX may offer sports contracts to Connecticut residents without a state gaming license, which is a licensing question, not a federal income tax ruling. The IRS has issued no guidance on event contracts.

Sources7 documents

Where each fact comes from.

The orders and filings first, each with the date we last read it. Where we keep a copy of a filing, it is linked beside the original.

Other states

ProphetX in other states.

Each state page is read from the court filings the same way.

Ohio · Being foughtProphetX in Ohio.Ohio’s Casino Control Commission sent a cease-and-desist letter addressed to “Prophet X” in October 2026, demanding it stop offering sports event contracts in Ohio. A letter is not a court order, and we found no court order naming ProphetX in Ohio.ProphetX in Ohio

See your ProphetX year priced four ways.

Connect ProphetX read-only for a free estimate under each treatment.